Weekly recap of the crypto derivatives markets by BlockScholes.
Key Insights:
Implied volatility continues its downward trend across both headline assets, a fact which is coupled with little to no preference towards long or short perpetual swap contracts. ETH continues to be more skewed towards OTM puts than BTC, with BTC exhibiting a more neutral smile.
FUTURES IMPLIED YIELD TERM STRUCTURE.
VOLATILITY SURFACE METRICS.
All data in tables are recorded at a 10:00 UTC snapshot unless otherwise stated.
Futures
BTC ANNUALISED YIELDS – trades sideways with shorter tenors recovering from yields seen last week.
ETH ANNUALISED YIELDS – mirror s BTC’ s trend with the recovery of short tenor s being much more apparent than BTC’ s.
Perpetual Swap Funding Rate
BTC FUNDING RATE – continues to trade close to zero showing little to no preference for long or short perpetual swap contract exposure.
ETH FUNDING RATE – trades close to zero, continuing the trend seen last week.
BTC Options
BTC SABR ATM IMPLIED VOLATILITY – saw a short-lived upside move at shorter tenors but continues to drift lower at all tenors.
BTC 25-Delta Risk Reversal – shows a neutral skew following a brief period being skewed towards OTM calls at all tenors.
ETH Options
ETH SABR ATM IMPLIED VOLATILITY – mirrors BTC’s downwards trend with the 6M trading ten vols higher than the 1w.
ETH 25-Delta Risk Reversal – is slightly skewed towards OTM puts with shorter tenors recovering from a heavy negative skew last week.
Volatility Surface
BTC IMPLIED VOL SURFACE – sees a surface wide cooling indicating a drop in implied volatility across the whole term structure.
ETH IMPLIED VOL SURFACE – shows a more dramatic fall in implied volatility at shorter tenors than longer ones.
Z-Score calculated with respect to the distribution of implied volatility of an option at a given delta and tenor over the previous 30-days of hourly data, timestamp 10:00 UTC, SABR smile calibration
Volatility Smiles
BTC SMILE CALIBRATIONS – 30-Jun-2023 Expiry, 10:00 UTC Snapshot.
ETH SMILE CALIBRATIONS – 30-Jun-2023 Expiry, 10:00 UTC Snapshot.
Historical SABR Volatility Smiles
BTC SABR CALIBRATION – 30 Day Tenor, 10:00 UTC Snapshot.
ETH SABR CALIBRATION – 30 Day Tenor, 10:00 UTC Snapshot.
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